Outcome Bias. How success turns luck into genius

one way sign outcome bias

In May 2012 Newcastle FC finished the Premiership season in an unexpected and highly credible fifth place. The Premier League named Alan Pardew Manager of the Season. Newcastle rewarded his success with an eight year contract. The following season, Newcastle battled relegation and barely survived with their Premiership status intact. The story, told in the book ‘Hunger in Paradise’ and here on YouTube is one of classic ‘Outcome Bias’.

Outcome Bias is the assumption that good results are always the consequence of good decisions. Newcastle assumed that Pardew and his management team were super-smart football operators and success would therefore be sustainable.

That success was not sustainable, was in fact, highly predictable. Looking below the headline data of the excellent fifth place finish in 2012, Newcastle had some poor statistics. These were for goal difference, goal distribution and shot differential. Indicators of a team that in reality should have finished in the bottom third of the table! That they didn’t was down to random variation, not genius! In a low scoring game like football, the best team wins less often than in a high scoring sport like basketball.

The point of the story (read the book, its worth it!) is this.

When we see success, we search for a narrative that explains it. But that narrative may not necessarily be correct. Newcastle’s (incorrect) narrative was the 2012 league table. Actions and outcomes aren’t always linked. Outside of sport, there’s great danger in thinking that success to date is driven entirely by certain actions. It’s risky to think that to replicate them will inexorably lead to further glory!

B2B brand touchpoint. Perhaps your brand can talk the talk but can it walk the walk?

b2b brand touchpoint man walking

When did you last look at how you position your brand? And more importantly how its delivered through your marketing communications? Never before have brands been in such a fragile position regarding brand ‘trust’. The huge reach of the many social channels has publicly put brand reputations on the line; 24/7/365.

Today it is no longer acceptable to have a brand vision or purpose that you buy into internally if it doesn’t resonate with your customers and prospects through your tactical communications. Growing businesses need a cohesive approach to regularly reviewing three things;
A) A robust and meaningful Value Proposition
B) An in-depth understanding of the needs and wants of your target personas
C) Your ‘Scale Up Voice’ (ie the themes & structures of your content and communications)

Without these three, your communications risk delivering little or no value to your business.

To sum up; for a great Scale Up brand, every touchpoint must be consistent, whether it’s face to face or online. Consumers are overloaded with pointless generic content from brands that is nothing more than noise. Have a point of difference, no matter how small you may think it is. Stand for something other than parity. In conclusion, become the brand that talks the talk and walks the walk. Contact us to get you started.

How your B2B Brand can find its hidden Value Proposition

how to find b2b value proposition

Value Proposition should be the fundamental DNA of your brand. To have a powerful and stand out brand is the aim of almost every business. Furthermore, strong brands shouldn’t be just the preserve of the big B2C guys. If you run a B2B business, you need a great B2B brand. But how to go about it? Where to start?

Here at M4G, we’ve helped lots of B2B brands find their voice. Our initial job (usually the most awkward part) is to unpick two key areas;

Firstly, its to get over the misconception that the brand is the logo. Many businesses feel that their ‘brand image’ is entirely represented by their logo and if they love their logo then the job is done! Sadly, not the case.

Secondly, we need to get past a set of buzz words about the B2B brand that are regularly offered up at this initial stage. Words and phrases like; ‘best’, ‘quality’, ‘value’, ‘innovation’, ‘class leading’, ‘world class’ and ‘customer focused’. These are our ‘red card’ words! Why? Because although your business could be any or all of these things, the words are meaningless in terms of defining your B2B brand. Countless B2B brands use these red card words in their branding. They are common words, easy words and lazy words. They’re not your words, they are everybody’s!

So lets set these words aside and get to the core and the foundation of your B2B brand; the Value Proposition. Clients ask us all the time; ‘What do you mean by ‘Value Proposition?’ We have a very simple answer. Your Value Proposition Is What You Are Really Selling! You Just Might Not Know It! This is a concept that can perplex and confound. Surely the answer is simply to be found in the list of products and services the business offers? Not quite.

To conclude; a key part of M4G’s marketing consultancy toolbox is a deep dive into what customers say about your offer. We also find the stories that your sales & product people tell supply vital insight. . Furthermore, there’s often an entirely different perspective and quite different language to the received wisdom in the business. These sources are a great way of understanding the real value of what your business offers. We’ll talk more about exactly how we do this in a forthcoming blog.

Image by Arek Socha from Pixabay 

Whose brand is it anyway? The risks of partnership branding

partnership branding black & white couple holding hands

Let’s talk about partnership branding! At every brand workshop we run, we ask participants about brands they dislike (sorry Ryanair) and brands they love. At workshops in the UK, the most frequent ‘love’ brand is John Lewis. We hear about great staff, great service and its ‘partnership’ business model. Our participants also recite John Lewis’s ‘Never Knowingly Undersold’ price promise. All good you’d think?

However all’s not well in UK high street retail and John Lewis is not immune. Just this week, the business announced its lowest staff bonus since 1953. Times are tough. But of course John Lewis won’t take this lying down. New branding came in last autumn, with the ‘Partners’ element of the business front and centre. A major part of the strategy is further focus on ‘exceptional’ service, delivered through the JL ‘Partners’ (ie their great staff). But there’s one element of the service delivery that regular users may have noticed, that potentially runs counter to this.

Concession areas and partnership branding are a key element of department store retailing and of course John Lewis has them. So with a strategy and brand experience based firmly on delivering exemplary service, it’s essential that concessions do this too. Based on two personal examples, this may be a threat to John Lewis’s approach.

  1. Trying to return an unused product to the Netspresso partner brand store in John Lewis, the response was this was impossible as the goods were ‘perishable’. We tried to talk to JL’s management, but were told this was impossible. Finally, we were threatened with security staff being summoned..!
  2. Buying make-up, we struggled to make ourselves heard over the pounding music from the newly adjacent MAC make up counter. The lady serving explained she had no control over the volume, that’s just what was agreed

In conclusion; there’s nothing anything intrinsically wrong in brand partnerships. But there are pitfalls around balancing relative brand values, behaviours and image. Lose even a modest amount of control and you put your own brand in a vulnerable position. Unsatisfied customers won’t unpick the nuances of which brand in the partnership delivered the poor experience – both brand partners will be tarred with the same brush!


Photo by Min An from Pexels

Got a boring product? Get an exciting brand!

bored cat b2b value proposition

Over the years we’ve worked in lots of B2B markets with many products that (on the surface at least) come across as, well, shall we say ‘uninteresting’? More often than not, B2B products are complex, technical and ‘difficult’. Confronted with this, it can be hard to create a killer B2B value proposition. It’s the perennial challenge of B2B marketers; how to deal with this ‘product boredom’ when it comes to branding.

Don’t despair. Our view is that there’s no better opportunity to up your brand’s game when all around you is bland and boring. The less ‘interesting’ the product area, the easier it is to stand out. What’s required is a detailed approach to unpicking the details of your product’s real benefits to customers. This can often be hidden and frequently unexpected! Read how we do this, here.

Consumer marketers know that they have to stand out or die. Luckily for them, they have more glamorous and interesting features & benefits that are easier to unpick. And thus easier to leverage into a great value proposition. Undoubtedly it’s more challenging in the B2B space. We have technical products & services, which can be hard to differentiate and there are complicated stories to tell. But if you like a challenge (we do!) and you can dig deep enough into the soul of your products & markets (we do that too!), then you can create a B2B value proposition and brand story that really cuts through.

One great tip is to talk in real depth to your colleagues who are product experts. We’ve found some amazing insights buried away in the minds (and presentations) of engineers and sales people, for example. Here at M4G, the subject of B2B value proposition is really close to our hearts and we’ll be returning to it in future posts!

Photo; martina-misar-tummeltshammer-103131-unsplash

Brand Britain and Brexit -will it be Cooler Britannia or Little England?

brexit and britain's brand

In this post we want to explore how will the confusion around Brand Britain and Brexit shapes how the UK is seen in the world. The Guardian ran an article entitled ‘Un big mess – how the rest of Europe views Brexit’. Which got us thinking. What will ‘Brand Britain’ look like in a post – Brexit world? A 2018 Barclays study said that the premium carried by a ‘Made in UK’ tag may be worth up to £3.45bn to British business. Brand Britain has serious value. However, will it be burned or boosted by Brexit?

Trying to define what Brand Britain is about isn’t easy. We settle on a DNA encompassing values like ‘open’, ‘assimilating’, ‘involving’, ‘accessible’ and of course, ‘creative’. We’re the land of The Monarchy, The Beatles, Burberry, Bentley, Curries, Stormsy, Paul Smith, Harry Potter and lots more great stuff. So there’s a core of truth around Brand Britain’s value proposition. Conclusion? We’re pretty cool.

However, what is Brand Britain now? Quarrelsome, divided, angry, undecided, lost? Designer Oswald Boateng said on Channel Four news ; ‘You thought being British was an expanding proposition, involving many cultures. As a brand it was working. Suddenly, no one knows what to do…’

Finally, how will the Brexit trauma affect what our brand means, going forward? Is Brexit a cry for the past, a yearning for our former glories? (Dunkirk anyone?). Will Brand Britain wrap itself in Crumpets, Castles & The Queen, heading back to a chocolate box image of ourselves? How will the Union Jack fare? It resurfaced on Mini cars, Noel’s guitars and Geri’s dresses. Could dark forces reclaim it?

To sum up. Successful brands need a clear and agreed Value Proposition and DNA. Although our ‘Brand Britain’ ’emerged’ over the years, up until now we could at least broadly agree what it was. Are we losing it and how will we find it again?

Sometimes, it’s about doing exactly what it says on the tin…

ronseal, how to create a value proposition blog

When it comes to understanding what to say about your business, it’s easy to get lost. Creating a strong & stand-out Value Proposition is a process that many business struggle with. Perhaps that’s no surprise. When you’re as close to your business as most business leaders are, it can be hard to have the dispassionate, forensic view that’s needed to truly see where the business really adds value to customers.

So here’s a thought. Do a Ronseal. Work this out, very simply. What does it say on your tin? Ok, you may not have a real killer USP like Ronseal did. But in our experience, many businesses are looking into the face of some great attributes. These are often ignored in a drive to be more sophisticated in their Value Proposition.

Here’s an example. We worked with a client in the service sector who had killer core competencies. They looked after high spec clients, with pretty high spec (and highly profitable) needs. This was an area where there were fewer competitors. At the same time, the business also provided some basic, more ‘vanilla’ services. Less differentiated, less lucrative.

In their desire to have a Value Proposition that covered all the bases, they ended up struggling to create a VP with any real ‘cut through’. Our advice was simple – here’s we said. You have a core offer that really stands out. The job of the the Value Proposition is not to get in the way of that, but to say simply and straightforwardly ‘This is what it says on our tin’.